
Speaking of Ben Affleck, The Accountant marks the second time we will be seeing him in a starring role in under a year (the third being December’s Live by Night). The Accountant – October 14 (Warner Bros.) Projected Gross Range: $20 million - $40 million A gross for Middle School closer to that of less successful children’s book adaptations such as Because of Winn-Dixie ($32.6 million) and James and the Giant Peach ($28.9 million) seems more likely. That film, however, benefited from a strong supporting cast that included Steve Carell and Jennifer Garner, who undoubtedly helped draw in parents. Whether this will be enough for parents to shell out money for admission, however, remains unclear.Īlexander and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Day, another adaptation of a popular children’s book, was released in early October two years ago and went on to gross an impressive $66.9 million.

It also helps that the film is surprisingly the only release in October targeting families.
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The idea of an uprising against an oppressive principal and faculty is appealing, and fans of the book series will likely be interested in this feature adaptation. 1 spot on the New York Times bestseller list. The series became quite popular, with the first book landing the No. Middle School: Worst Years of My Life is based on the first installment of the James Patterson Middle School novel series, which depicts a new student rallying his classmates to rebel against the faculty after they destroy his notebook. Projected Gross Range: $80 million - $140 million Still, this should end up being a strong hit for Universal, despite the mixed reviews. In addition, the theme of dishonesty and the idea of a marriage being a façade helped make Gone Girl a must see for couples, which helped drive up the film’s gross multiplier. No offense to director Tate Taylor, but advertisements for Gone Girl played up David Fincher's involvement as the man behind Se7en and The Social Network, which is a tough resume to compete with. But will it be the next Gone Girl at the box office? When The Girl on the Train's book sales skyrocketed, many journalists deemed it the next Gone Girl. Gone Girl was also based on a popular adult mystery thriller that unspools through different points of view and featured a talented cast ( Ben Affleck, Rosamund Pike). It doesn't feel like an accident that The Girl on the Train is being released during the same weekend as Gone Girl two years ago. The source material has sold over 15 million copies worldwide since its release, the film features an appealing cast that includes Emily Blunt, Justin Theroux, and Rebecca Ferguson, and the trailers have nicely played up the mystery of the story (who killed Megan Hipwell?). Projected Gross Range: $20 million - $50 millionīased on the extremely popular novel of the same name, The Girl on the Train looks poised to be one of October’s top grossing films.


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At the very least, The Birth of a Nation should be getting higher than this past summer’s disappointment Free State of Jones, which ended its run with $20.8 million. While it’s impossible to quantify the exact effect the controversy will have on the film's grosses, a total close to 12 Years a Slave’s $56.6 million may be out of reach. Tough subject matter is almost always a difficult sell at the box office, although The Birth of a Nation may get a slight boost as the film’s trailers have hinted at an epic battle. With regard to the film itself, many have drawn comparisons to 12 Years a Slave, another major festival hit that graphically depicted the brutalities of slavery. It’s also become a rarity to come across an article that mentions The Birth of a Nation without discussion of the controversy, particularly after Parker refused to answer any personal questions during the press conference at the Toronto International Film Festival. The heavy controversy behind The Birth of a Nation (and specifically star/director/producer/writer Nate Parker), by contrast, is different, as it appears to be directly affecting general audiences' perception of the film. World War Z, for example, had numerous reports of production problems and budget overruns leading up to its release, but its $540.0 million worldwide gross indicated that audiences were unaffected by the negative press. There's the old saying that any press is good press. Until just a few months ago, the film seemed poised for a strong box office run.

Dramatic Competition, and was purchased by Fox Searchlight for a record $17.5 million. It received a standing ovation, won the Audience Award and Grand Jury Prize in the U.S. When it premiered at Sundance in January, The Birth of a Nation had some of the best reception in the history of the festival. Instead, it deals with the story of Nat Turner, who led a slave rebellion in 1831 Virginia. The title was stolen on purpose, but The Birth of a Nation is not a remake of the 1919 classic.
